Weather Forecast Outlook for 11 Apr 2018 – 6 May 2018 (4:30pm, Sun., April 8, 2018)

— Written By Barclay Poling
en Español

El inglés es el idioma de control de esta página. En la medida en que haya algún conflicto entre la traducción al inglés y la traducción, el inglés prevalece.

Al hacer clic en el enlace de traducción se activa un servicio de traducción gratuito para convertir la página al español. Al igual que con cualquier traducción por Internet, la conversión no es sensible al contexto y puede que no traduzca el texto en su significado original. NC State Extension no garantiza la exactitud del texto traducido. Por favor, tenga en cuenta que algunas aplicaciones y/o servicios pueden no funcionar como se espera cuando se traducen.

English is the controlling language of this page. To the extent there is any conflict between the English text and the translation, English controls.

Clicking on the translation link activates a free translation service to convert the page to Spanish. As with any Internet translation, the conversion is not context-sensitive and may not translate the text to its original meaning. NC State Extension does not guarantee the accuracy of the translated text. Please note that some applications and/or services may not function as expected when translated.

Collapse ▲

Image of strawberriesGrower in SC reporting:  BEST QUALITY, LEAST deformed or diseased berries ever in history. The quality, flavor, size and yields have been record setting. Customer demand locally and thru SC & NC has been outstanding, and we have a waiting list. Pictures of a typical packout are attached (Clyde Gurosik, N Augusta, SC)

Dear Agents, Agronomists, Growers and Friends

After the period of very cold  temperatures for the season, temperatures finally turn warmer mid week and go above normal by the end of the week. After that things cool down a bit back to near normal the rest of the month and most likely into May.

There is still plenty of cold air in Canada and it looks like the northern tier states into Canada will remain below normal. But the southern states will tend to be above normal. This will tend to increase the already strong north – south spring temperature gradient to a greater strength than usual for this or anytime of the year. This trend would tend to support an active weather pattern with strong fronts passing through the forecast regions every few days. It also opens up the possibility of allowing the circulation surrounding  one of the storms that develop to tap into the cold air in the north and plunge it rapidly south into the forecast region. Not something that seems likely in the immediate future, but something to keep in mind regarding the longer term forecasts.

The longer range models continue to indicate that May and June will tend to see above normal temperatures. May is now looking to see wetter than normal conditions with precipitation amounts being above average for the forecast region. It is now looking like June will be somewhat drier than normal.

Forecast discussion day 3 – 5   (11 Apr – 13Apr) Temperatures warm from below to above normal; mostly dry conditions all regions.   Large high pressure moves through the region bringing dry conditions with a strong southwesterly flow developing by late in the period. As the high pressure moves through the forecast region, temperatures will warm from below normal conditions to significantly above normal by the end of the period. Expect mostly dry conditions the entire period all regions. Precipitation amounts will likely be in 0.00 – 0.05” range.

Forecast discussion day 3 – 5 graph image

Temperature Forecast and Climatology:   

Region and Rep Station Fcst High T Range Climo High T   Fcst Low T Range Climo Low T
Reg 1    Richmond VA   61-80 68 41-57 46
Reg 2    VA Beach  VA   56-72 66 46-58 49
Reg 3    Clayton NC      63-81 72 43-58 49
Reg 4    Jackson NC       66-79 72 47-58 52
Reg 5    Greenville SC   70-81 72 45-57 51

Forecast discussion day 6 – 8:  (14 Apr – 16 Apr) Temperatures start of above normal and end below normal; widespread showers and thunderstorms mid to late period. Expect a strong cold front to move north through the forecast region during the period. Expect temperatures to start off above normal ahead of the front, but cool to below normal by the end of the period after the passage of the front   Expect widespread showers and thunderstorms some of which could be severe from mid to late in the period. Precipitation amounts will likely be in the 0.40 – 0.70” range for most locations.

Forecast discussion day 6 - 8 graph image

Temperature Forecast and Climatology:   

Region and Rep Station Fcst High T Range Climo High T   Fcst Low T Range Climo Low T
Reg 1    Richmond VA   77-66 69 43-57 48
Reg 2    VA Beach  VA   64-74 67 47-56 50
Reg 3    Clayton NC      70-80 73 46-59 50
Reg 4    Jackson NC       64-80 73 46-61 53
Reg 5    Greenville SC   66-80 73 41-58 52

Forecast discussion day 9 – 11:  (17 Apr – 19 Apr) Temperatures warm to near or slightly above normal; widespread showers late in the period.  Expect warmer air to move into the forecast area as a low pressure system moves just north of the region. Conditions stay mostly dry until late in the period when a period of widespread showers and possible isolated thunderstorm activity is expected to develop. Precipitation amounts will likely be 0.30 – 0.50” range.

Forecast discussion day 9 - 11 graph image

Temperature Forecast and Climatology:   

Region and Rep Station Fcst High T Range Climo High T   Fcst Low T Range Climo Low T
Reg 1    Richmond VA   69-75 70 45-47 49
Reg 2    VA Beach  VA   65-73 67 48-51 51
Reg 3    Clayton NC      71-75 73 47-50 51
Reg 4    Jackson NC       71-76 73 49-55 54
Reg 5    Greenville SC   72-76 73 46-53 53

Forecast discussion day 12 – 14:   (20 Apr – 22 Apr) Temperatures stay near to slightly above normal all regions; widespread showers western region very late in period. Expect a low pressure and frontal system to slowly develop to the west of the region and move toward the forecast region. As it does it will keep temperature near normal with the threat of widespread shower activity developing in the western sections of the forecast region by very late in the period. Precipitation amounts will likely be in the 0.00 – 0.15” range for most locations.

Forecast discussion day 12 - 14 graph image

Temperature Forecast and Climatology:   

Region and Rep Station Fcst High T Range Climo High T   Fcst Low T Range Climo Low T
Reg 1    Richmond VA   73-77 71 47-51 50
Reg 2    VA Beach  VA   68-75 68 50-53 52
Reg 3    Clayton NC      75-78 74 50-52 52
Reg 4    Jackson NC       74-79 74 55-57 55
Reg 5    Greenville SC   74-80 74 55-56 54

Day 15 – 30 Temperature Outlook 23Apr –6 May

Day 15 – 30 Temperature Outlook graph image

Day 15 – 30 Precipitation Outlook 23 Apr –6 May

Day 15 – 30 Precipitation Outlook graph image

Outlook discussion day 15 – 22:   (23 Apr – 29 Apr) Early indications are that temperatures and precipitation will be near the seasonal average during this period.

Outlook discussion day 23 – 30:  (30 Apr – 6 May) Early indications are that temperatures and precipitation will be near the seasonal average during this period. 

April, May, June Outlook:    May outlook is for slightly warmer and wetter than normal conditions for the forecast region. It looks like June will continue the above normal temperature trends, but will tend to be dryer with precipitation amounts being below average for the forecast region.