AWIS Weather Advisory: Frost Days Ahead in Some Areas

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AWIS Weather Advisory: Frost Days Ahead in some areas

In collaboration with AWIS Weather Services

Strawberry are early, and March is going to be interesting. Generally, if you are no at 10% bloom, I would not recommend to protect yet. But in some cases, especially with early cultivars, you might be already there.

A slight chance for frost in Western NC and VA can occur this Sunday. Again, only if you have significant bloom, and you are in a risk area, you need to protect.

A more severe frost event is predicted for end of next week, beginning Friday, Mar 10. Maps are attached. Currently it seems that even central and parts of Eastern NC might be affected. We will keep you updated over the course of the next week.

General Discussion

For Mid-Atlantic And Most SE States

*** Warm Many Areas Couple More Days
*** Showery Northern Areas Late Week
*** Drier Period This Weekend Into Next Week
*** Colder Periods Later Next Week Into Mid March

The first couple months of the New Year have been typical of
a La Nina type winter, and similar to last year.

This means the battle zone and storm track has frequently shifted
North and South from a mean position around the Ohio Valley to
Mid Atlantic Region.

Thus warmer than normal periods have been more frequent South of
this boundary, but have been able to push even further North
at times into the Mid-Atlantic.

Most of the true Arctic air masses have stayed just North of the
region, but with glancing blows at times across the Ohio Valley to
Mid Atlantic region as well.

Also, frequent periods of showers and storms have pushed soil moisture
to excessive levels in this battle zone, mainly from the Western
Carolinas Northward.

The warmer than normal periods, particularly over the last month, have
pushed many crops to as much as 2-3 weeks ahead of schedule,
particularly over the Southern areas into the SE states.

This will make crops highly susceptible to damage from late winter
and early spring freeze threats, where adequate protection is not

More rain and storms is in store this week for the same general areas
that do not need the rain, along with mostly above normal temperatures.

A drier period is indicated for a good part of this weekend into next

Will have to watch for potential periods of colder weather moving
further South towards the end of next week, into the middle part
of March.

This may require protective measures in some areas.

Growers will need to keep updated on daily weather forecasts for
their area and potential trends and changes in the coming days
and few weeks ahead.

Minimum Temperatures & Recommendations

East Coast Min Temperature Forecast Sunday 03/05/2023

East Coast Min Temperature Forecast Monday 03/06/2023Figure 1: Predicted minimum Temperatures for the Region for the coming weekend (Sunday (3/05/23) & Monday (3/06/23)).

In areas West and North of Raleigh, currently minium temperatures are predicted to be lower than 40 F. Potential for forst is higher in those areas. ONLY IF YOU ARE at more than 10 % bloom in thos areas (e.g. with early cultivars like Sweet Charlie, Rocco), it might be worth protecting your crop! Please watch your dew points closely and make an assessment based on the status of your crop.

East Coast Min Temperature Forecast Friday 03/10/2023

East Coast Min Temperature forecast Saturday 03/11/2023Figure 2: Predicted minimum Temperatures for the following weekend (Friday (3/10/23) and Saturday (3/11/23)).

Currently much of NC is predicted to experience frost conditions, beginning Friday March 10th. We will keep you posted. If you haven’t yet, it is time to bring out your rowcovers and hook up the sprinklers for this event!

Regional Forecasts:

North Carolina

Ahoskie-Tri-Cou Albemarle_AP Andrews Asheboro
Asheville_Munic Beaufort-Michae Boone_NC Burlington-Burl
Cape_Hatteras_AG Chapel_Hill-Hor Charlotte Cherry_Point
Clinton_NC Concord_NC Currituck_NC Edenton-Northea
Elizabeth_City Elizabethtown_NC Erwin-Harnett_C Fayetteville_AP
Fort_Bragg/Simm Franklin/Macon_C Gastonia-Gaston Goldsboro_AFB
Goldsboro_NC Greensboro Greenville_AP_NC Hickory
Jacksonville Jacksonville_(A Jefferson_AP_NC Kenansville-Dup
Kill_Devil_Hills Kinston_AP Lexington-David Lincolnton_AP
Louisburg_NC Lumberton_AP_NC Mackall_AAF Manteo/Dare_Co
Maxton Mcalf_Bogue_Fiel Monroe_AP_NC Morganton-Morga
Mount_Airy-Moun New_Bern North_Wilkesbor Oxford_NC
Piney_Island_Bom Pope_AFB Raleigh-Durham Reidsville_AP
Roanoke_Rap_AP Roanoke_Rapids_R Rockingham_NC Rocky_Mount-Wils
Roxboro_AP Rutherfordton Salisbury-Rowan Sanford_NC
Shelby_AP_NC Smithfield_AP Southern_Pines Southport_NC
Statesville-Sta Tarboro_AP Wadesboro_AP Washington-Warr
Whiteville_NC Wilmington_AP_NC Winston-Salem

South Carolina:

Aiken_AP Anderson_Co_Air Barnwell_AP Beaufort_Cnty_AP
Beaufort_SC Bennettsville_Je Camden_AP Charleston_Exec_
Charleston_Muni Cheraw_AP Chester_SC_AP Clemson-Clemson
Columbia-Columb Columbia/McEnti Columbia_Metro Conway_AP
Darlington Florence_SC Georgetown_AP_SC Greenville_Donal
Greenville_Down Greenville-Spart Greenwood-Green Hartsville_AP
Hilton_Head_AP Kingstree_AP Lancaster-McWhir Laurens_AP
Manning_AP Marion_AP_SC Moncks_Corner_AP Mount_Pleasant_A
Myrtle_Beach Newberry_AP North_Myrtle_Be Orangeburg-Oran
Pickens_AP Rock_Hill Spartanburg_Down Summerville_AP
Sumter_AP Sumter_SC Walterboro_AP Winnsboro_AP


Albany_Municipa Alma/Bacon_Co Americus_AP Athens_Municipa
Atlanta/DeKalb Atlanta/Fulton Atlanta_Intl_Ar Atlanta_Paulding
Augusta/Bush_Fi Augusta_Daniel_F Bainbridge_GA Blakely_AP
Brunswick_GA Brunswick/Glync Canton_GA Carrollton_AP
Cartersville_AP Claxton_AP Columbus_GA Covington_GA_AP
Dalton-Dalton_M Douglas_Muni Dublin/WHBarron Fitzgerald_AP
Fort_Benning Ft_Stewart/Wrig Gainesville_AP_G Greensboro_GA
Homerville_AP Hunter_(AAF) Jesup_AP La_Grange
Lakeland Lawrenceville_AP Macon_AP Marietta
Marietta/Cobb Milledgeville_AP Moultrie_Muni_AP Newnan-Newnan_C
Peachtree_City Rome_GA Savannah Statesboro_GA
Swainsboro_AP Sylvania_AP_GA Thomaston_AP Thomasville_AP
Thomson_GA Tifton_AP Valdosta Valdosta/Moody
Vidalia Warner_Robins_A Washington_GA Waycross_AP


Abingdon Ashland_VA Charlottesville Chesapeake-Ches
Culpeper Danville Dublin/New_Riv Emporia_VA
Farmville Fentress_Naval_A Fort_Belvoir/Da Fort_Eustis/Fel
Franklin/J_B_Ro Hillsville Hot_Springs/Ing Jonesville_AP
Langley_AFB Leesburg/Godfre Louisa-Louisa_C Lynchburg
Manassas_Muni(A Marion/Wythev Martinsville Mecklenburg/Bru
Melfa/Accomack Newport_News Norfolk_Hampton_ Norfolk_NAS
Norfolk_VA Oceana Orange_VA Petersburg_(AWO
Quantico Richlands_AP Richmond Richmond_Chester
Roanoke Shannon_Arpt Stafford_AP_VA Staunton-Shenan
Suffolk-Suffolk Tappahannock_AP Virginia_Tech_A Wakefield_AP
Wallops_Island Warrenton_Fauqui Washington_Dulle West_Point_VA
Williamsburg_VA Winchester_Rgnl Wise/Lonesome_P


Aberdeen Andrews_AFB Annapolis_Naval Baltimore_Sci_Ce
Baltimore/Wash Cambridge/Dorche Camp_David_HEL College_Park_AP
Cumberland_AP Easton_MD Fort_Meade Frederick_MD
Gaithersburg_AP Hagerstown_AP Leonardtown Middle_River
Oakland_MD_AP Ocean_City_AP Patuxent_River Salisbury
Stevensville_AP St_Inigoes/Webst Washington_DC_AP Westminster_AP