AWIS Frost Update for North Carolina, MD, VA, SC, GA and KY (5pm, Friday, March 16, 2018)
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Collapse ▲Fig. 1. Clyde Gurosik sent this photo of his Camarosa crop on March 12th – he is located in N. Augusta, SC. He wrote, “…Camarosa cut-off plants…should begin production by 3/23/18 and be in HIGH COTTON before Easter and Masters week.
Total cold protection has been with overhead irrigation protection. No row covers were ever deployed, as labor wasn’t available to perform necessary, desired “TIMELY REMOVALS”!! Rock bags were deployed, so covers could be, IF a “CLIPPER” was expected.”
Good afternoon,
I just got through reading Mark’s terrific update from yesterday – nice work!
Mark provided a very useful set of instructions (with great graphics) on using the CRONOS system – not only for NC, but other states as well.
I am also pleased to see how much attention Mark is giving to wind speeds in most all of his advisories! I recall Clyde Gurosik saying to me not too long ago how ultra-critical it is to have good wind speed information in REAL TIME – in case you are interested this is the type of Real Time Graphical information Clyde is getting from the Clarks Hill-SC weather station Georgia Weather – Automated Environmental Monitoring Network Page
NC Grower emphasizes “Know Your Location.” Mark and I received this note from Scot Luton today:
“Good morning from Roper,NC. I just wanted to share how varied temps can be here up Backwoods. SkyBit called for canopy of 39 degrees and an air temp of 42. AWIS called for a minimum air temp of 42 degrees for Edenton,NC and 37 degrees for Ahoskie,NC. I am also a big fan of CRONOS and I am about 5 miles from the ECONET site on the Tidewater Research Station ,Plymouth,NC. The temp there at 6 a.m. was 45.9 degrees at 2m and the wind was 5.9 mph. At 1500 Backwoods RD Roper,NC [home] it was34.5 degrees at eye level,31 degrees at canopy level and calm. Frost was forming on the covers and if we had not been covered I would have started irrigation. I can understand why new growers get confused about forecast.We have been raising strawberries here since 1973.Daddy bought the irrigation system we still use in1973 for frost protection.A lot of things have changed since we planted the first strawberry here,but one thing has remained constant, Daddy still says this is just a cold hole. I guess if there’s a lesson in all this rambling it would be KNOW YOUR LOCATION. Scot Luton Roper,NC
Fig. 2. Min Temp Map for Saturday morning, 3/17 10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS
AWIS Weather Services, Inc. North Carolina Frost/Freeze Forecast Produced at 307 p.m. CDT on Fri Mar 16 2018 ... Forecast for Tonight ... Northeast NC Coast Currituck/Camden/Pasquotank/Tyrrell Counties **** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS **** **** FROST LIKELY **** Lowest Temperatures: 31 - 39 Elizabeth_City Min 31 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 2 Range Dewpoint Temps: 18 - 37 Range Wetbulb Temps: 31 - 44 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: N 4 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 37 - 45 34 - 44 48 - 54 45 - 51 34 - 40 32 - 40 -------- East Central/SE NC Coast Carteret/Pamlico Counties **** NEAR FREEZING COLD LOCATIONS **** **** FROST LIKELY **** Lowest Temperatures: 35 - 41 Morehead_City Min 41 Range Dewpoint Temps: 24 - 39 Range Wetbulb Temps: 39 - 47 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NW 4 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 46 - 49 38 - 43 52 - 55 45 - 53 35 - 39 34 - 37 -------- Southeast NC NWS FORECAST ZONES 87-90,96-101 ** PATCHY FROST COLDEST LOCATIONS ** Lowest Temperatures: 36 - 45 Elizabethtown Min 41 Range Dewpoint Temps: 23 - 44 Range Wetbulb Temps: 41 - 49 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 4 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 46 - 51 41 - 47 52 - 57 43 - 51 36 - 40 32 - 36 -------- North-Central NC Franklin County Area **** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS **** **** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** Lowest Temperatures: 32 - 41 Louisburg Min 33 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 1 Range Dewpoint Temps: 12 - 26 Range Wetbulb Temps: 31 - 40 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NW 3 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 39 - 48 37 - 47 43 - 52 40 - 48 31 - 38 29 - 35 -------- North/Central NC Alamance County Area **** NEAR FREEZING COLD LOCATIONS **** **** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** Lowest Temperatures: 35 - 40 Graham_AG Min 37 Range Dewpoint Temps: 18 - 26 Range Wetbulb Temps: 33 - 40 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NW 3 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 42 - 48 42 - 47 45 - 50 42 - 47 33 - 38 30 - 35 -------- South/Central NC Richmond County Area **** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** Lowest Temperatures: 38 - 43 Ellerbe Min 41 Range Dewpoint Temps: 23 - 39 Range Wetbulb Temps: 41 - 46 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NW 5 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Mostly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 47 - 49 42 - 46 45 - 54 40 - 47 33 - 38 31 - 35 -------- Interior/EC-SE NC Wayne County Area **** NEAR FREEZING COLD LOCATIONS **** **** FROST LIKELY **** Lowest Temperatures: 34 - 40 Goldsboro_AG Min 38 Range Dewpoint Temps: 21 - 40 Range Wetbulb Temps: 41 - 43 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NW 3 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/18/18 03/19/18 03/20/18 03/21/18 03/22/18 03/23/18 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 43 - 48 37 - 43 50 - 55 43 - 52 34 - 38 32 - 35 -------- For more detailed information visit www.awis.com or call 888-798-9955. Copyright 2018 AWIS Weather Services, Inc. All rights reserved.
Maryland
Fig. 3. AWIS Minimums for MD and Mid-Atlantic (includes VA)
10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS FOR MD
Virginia
Note from Lowell Yoder in Rustburg, VA
Howdy sir. No, we actually aren’t nearly as advanced as many of the folks to our south and east. You can find some scattered blooms on some sweet Charlie’s and a rare one on the chandlers. Most of the sweet Charlie’s have buds emerged from the crown. My chandlers mostly have buds right at the top of the crown or still inside. I have all my sweet Charlie’s and Albions covered and have for the last week and a half trying to push them. I covered half of my chandlers over the weekend but the other half remain uncovered. Hoping to stagger them some. Half of my chandlers were only covered a month or so through the harshest winter weather.It’s easy to get antsy when I see the pictures of blooms from North Carolina and try to rush things. But with the weather we’ve had and some still to go I’m glad we’re no further along then we are. It’s not a sprint but a marathon. 😁
Fig. 4. Sweet Charlie on March 14th in Rustburg, VA (near Lynchburg)
Fig. 6. Another Sweet Charlie plant
10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS (VA)
South Carolina
Eric Hunter, Easley, SC, wrote on 3/14: The winds have been horrible here for the past few days. So far everything is coming through the cold pretty good. We’ve had lows in the mid 20s.
Note written by Clyde Gurosik on 3/14 Clydes note 3:14
10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS
Georgia – looking pretty safe! GA Frost Forecast
10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS
Kentucky KY Frost Forecast Tonight
10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS
Have a good evening!