Turbulent Frost Weather ahead, starting Thursday

(Updated: March 11, 2026, 12:23 p.m.)
Brunswick County storm clouds over a field.

Weather Advisory: Turbulent Days ahead

Frost night Thursday - Friday

Dear all,

We are looking at some turbulent weather ahead in the coming day, starting on Thursday this week (Mar 12) and lasting into late next week.

We can expect wind, rain on Thursday, followed by a frost-night Thursday to Friday night. It will be crucial for most growers in NC to protect their blossoms from frost damage during that night. This is especially true for Central NC, Piedmont and Western NC.

Rain should slow down on Thursday afternoon in most areas, there will be enough time to bring out dry row covers.

Longer cold period predicted to start Monday (Mar 16)

More concerning is the cold front that will come in early next week, again preceded by rain. This front has much colder air behind it, with surface high pressure originating from arctic regions, thus creating a potential for sub-freezing temperatures as early as Monday morning in Western areas, spreading to Eastern and Southern areas Tuesday and perhaps even Wednesday mornings.

We will give you a more detailed update later this week.

Minimum Temperature Maps

Thursday, Mar 12

Predicted Minimum Temperatures Mar 12, 2026

Friday, Mar 13

Predicted Minimum Temperatures Mar 13, 2026

Monday, Mar 16

Predicted Minimum Temperatures Mar 16, 2026

Min Temp Tuesday Mar 17

Predicted Minimum Temperatures Mar 17, 2026

Min Temp for Wed Mar 18

Predicted Minimum Temperatures Mar 18, 2026

General Weather Discussion

The recent spell of record warmth across large areas of the USA will continue for Eastern and Southern parts of the USA through the middle of this week.

Then a brief cooldown late this week behind the next cold front that moves through.

Numerous showers and storms, some locally strong to severe, will precede this next cold front, spreading from Western areas later Wednesday to areas further East/South Wednesday night into Thursday. Rain totals of an inch, locally more are expected to be rather widespread.

Behind this frontal passage, temperatures in the Northern ares--mainly Missouri to Maryland, Southward to Northern areas of Tennesse and North Carolina--may reach freezing at ground level, with frost expected late this week as early as Thursday morning in Western areas and Friday morning in Eastern areas.

Then another warmup begins later Friday lasting through this weekend into the beginning of next week, but it won't be as warm as the current spell.

A stronger cold front moves through late this weekend through early Monday with associated showers, mostly light in terms of rain totals.

This front has much colder air behind it, with surface high pressure originating from arctic regions, thus creating a potential for sub-freezing temperatures as early as Monday morning in Western areas, spreading to Eastern and Southern areas Tuesday and perhaps even Wednesday mornings.

This surge of much colder air will likely require many growers to replace crop covers.

Then the pendulum switches back to warmer temperatures starting by the end of next week.

Temperature Tables

North Carolina:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:Ahoskie-Tri-Cou Albemarle_AP Andrews Asheboro Asheville_Munic Beaufort-Michae Boone_NC Burlington-Burl Cape_Hatteras_AG Chapel_Hill-Hor Charlotte Cherry_Point Clinton_NC Concord_NC Currituck_NC Edenton-Northea Elizabeth_City Elizabethtown_NC Erwin-Harnett_C Fayetteville_AP Fort_Bragg/Simm Franklin/Macon_Co_AP Gastonia-Gaston Goldsboro_AFB Goldsboro_NC Greensboro Greenville_AP_NC Hickory Jacksonville Jacksonville_(A Jefferson_AP_NC Kenansville-Dup Kill_Devil_Hills Kinston_AP Lexington-David Lincolnton_AP Louisburg_NC Lumberton_AP_NC Mackall_AAF Manteo/Dare_Co Maxton Mcalf_Bogue_Field Monroe_AP_NC Morganton-Morga Mount_Airy-Moun New_Bern North_Wilkesbor Oxford_NC Piney_Island_Bomb Pope_AFB Raleigh-Durham Reidsville_AP Roanoke_Rap_AP Roanoke_Rapids_Reg Rockingham_NC Rocky_Mount-Wilson Roxboro_AP Rutherfordton Salisbury-Rowan Sanford_NC Shelby_AP_NC Siler_City_AP Smithfield_AP Southern_Pines Southport_NC Statesville-Sta Stumpy_Point_Gunnery Tarboro_AP Wadesboro_AP Washington-Warr Whiteville_NC Wilmington_AP_NC Winston-Salem Sylva_AP Engelhard_AP Wallace_AP Williamston_AP Roanoke_Rap_AP

South Carolina:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:Aiken_AP Allendale_AP Anderson_Co_Air Barnwell_AP Beaufort_Cnty_AP Beaufort_SC Bennettsville_Jetpor Camden_AP Charleston_Exec_AP Charleston_Muni Cheraw_AP Chester_SC_AP Clemson-Clemson Columbia-Columb Columbia/McEnti Columbia_Metro Conway_AP Darlington Florence_SC Georgetown_AP_SC Greenville_Donaldson Greenville_Down Greenville-Spartbg Greenwood-Green Hartsville_AP Hilton_Head_AP Kingstree_AP Lancaster-McWhirter Laurens_AP Manning_AP Marion_AP_SC Moncks_Corner_AP Mount_Pleasant_AP Myrtle_Beach Newberry_AP North_Myrtle_Be Orangeburg-Oran Pickens_AP Rock_Hill Spartanburg_Downtown Summerville_AP Sumter_AP Sumter_SC Walterboro_AP Winnsboro_AP

Georgia:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:Albany_Municipa Alma/Bacon_Co Americus_AP Athens_Municipa Atlanta/DeKalb Atlanta/Fulton Atlanta_Intl_Ar Atlanta_Paulding_AP Augusta/Bush_Fi Augusta_Daniel_Field Bainbridge_GA Baxley_AP Blairsville_AP Blakely_AP Brunswick_GA Brunswick/Glync Butler_Muni_AP Canton_GA Carrollton_AP Cartersville_AP Claxton_AP Columbus_GA Cordele_AP Covington_GA_AP Dalton-Dalton_M Douglas_Muni Dublin/WHBarron Eastman_AP Fitzgerald_AP Fort_Benning Ft_Stewart/Wrig Gainesville_AP_GA Greensboro_GA Griffin_AP Hazlehurst_AP Homerville_AP Hunter_(AAF) Jesup_AP La_Grange Lawrenceville_AP Macon_AP Marietta Marietta/Cobb Milledgeville_AP Moultrie_Muni_AP Newnan-Newnan_C Peachtree_City Perry_GA_AP Rome_GA Sandersville_AP Savannah Statesboro_GA Swainsboro_AP Sylvania_AP_GA Thomaston_AP Thomasville_AP Thomson_GA Tifton_AP Toccoa_Letourneau Valdosta Valdosta/Moody Vidalia Warner_Robins_A Washington_GA Waycross_AP Winder_AP Donalsonville_AP Canon_AP Louisville_GA_AP Millen_AP Cochran_AP Ellijay_AP Dahlonega_Mosby Lafayette_GA_AP Cornelia_AP Camilla_AP Calhoun_GA_AP Monroe_GA_AP Elberton_AP Hampton_AP Jefferson_AP_GA Jasper_GA_AP Metter_AP Pine_Mountain_AP

Virginia:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:Abingdon Ashland_VA Blackstone_AAF Bridgewater_AP Brookneal_AP Bumpass Charlottesville Chase_City_AP Chesapeake-Ches Clarksville_VA_AP Crewe_AP Culpeper Danville Dublin/New_Riv Emporia_VA Farmville Fentress_Naval_Aux Fort_Belvoir/Da Fort_Eustis/Fel Franklin/J_B_Ro Front_Royal_AP Gordonsville_AP Hillsville Hot_Springs/Ing Jonesville_AP Kenbridge Langley_AFB Lawrenceville_VA_AP Leesburg/Godfre Louisa-Louisa_C Luray_Caverns_AP Lynchburg Manassas_Muni(A Marion/Wythev Martinsville Mecklenburg/Bru Melfa/Accomack New_Market_AP Newport_News Norfolk_Hampton_Road Norfolk_NAS Norfolk_VA Oceana Orange_VA Petersburg_(AWO Quantico Quinton Richlands_AP Richmond Richmond_Chester_AP Roanoke Saluda Shannon_Arpt South_Boston_AP Stafford_AP_VA Staunton-Shenan Suffolk-Suffolk Tangier_Island_AP Tappahannock_AP Virginia_Tech_A Wakefield_AP Wallops_Island Warrenton_Fauquier Washington_Dulles Waynesboro_AP West_Point_VA Williamsburg_VA Winchester_Rgnl Wise/Lonesome_P

Maryland:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:Aberdeen Andrews_AFB Annapolis_Naval Baltimore_Sci_Cen Baltimore/Wash Cambridge/Dorchester Camp_David_HEL College_Park_AP Cumberland_AP Easton_MD Fort_Meade Frederick_MD Gaithersburg_AP Hagerstown_AP Leonardtown Middle_River Oakland_MD_AP Ocean_City_AP Patuxent_River Salisbury Stevensville_AP St_Inigoes/Webster Washington_DC_AP Westminster_AP Fort_Ritchie/Si

Delaware:

FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR THESE LOCATIONS:Dover_AFB Georgetown_AP Wilmington_DE Cheswold_AP