North Carolina – Wed. Morning and Late Afternoon Updates (11am & 5:30pm, 3/22/17)
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Fig. 1. This is a Chandler plant in Rustburg, VA, that has truly been through quite an ordeal last week (photo taken on Sunday, March 19). The grower managed to keep most of his blooms alive on Chandler. The grower wrote, “Chandler seems to keep the blooms tucked into the plant canopy better and I think that helped this variety.” I have had reports of both Sweet Charlie and Camino Real having more issues with these freezes. This particular grower also said, “What’s impressive to me as that some of these (Chandler) blooms must have come through three sub twenty nights with two covers….. a one and a quarter with a .9 on top.
NC Temp Outlook - Late Afternoon AWIS Weather Services, Inc. North Carolina Frost/Freeze Forecast Produced at 306 p.m. CDT on Wed Mar 22 2017 ... Forecast for Tonight ... Northeast NC Coast Currituck/Camden/Pasquotank/Tyrrell Counties **** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS **** **** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** Lowest Temperatures: 29 - 36 Elizabeth_City Min 29 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 5 Range Dewpoint Temps: 18 - 32 Range Wetbulb Temps: 26 - 40 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 11 AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 31 - 38 48 - 54 51 - 57 53 - 60 56 - 62 49 - 56 -------- East Central/SE NC Coast Carteret/Pamlico Counties **** FREEZING TEMPERATURES **** **** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** Lowest Temperatures: 30 - 34 Morehead_City Min 34 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 3 Range Dewpoint Temps: 23 - 32 Range Wetbulb Temps: 28 - 41 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 10 AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 34 - 37 50 - 51 51 - 55 56 - 58 56 - 59 56 - 58 -------- Southeast NC NWS FORECAST ZONES 87-90,96-101 **** FREEZING TEMPERATURES **** **** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** Lowest Temperatures: 30 - 34 Elizabethtown Min 33 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 2 Range Dewpoint Temps: 23 - 36 Range Wetbulb Temps: 30 - 44 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 9 AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 33 - 37 47 - 51 52 - 57 54 - 58 54 - 59 52 - 61 -------- North-Central NC Franklin County Area **** FREEZING TEMPERATURES **** **** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** Lowest Temperatures: 27 - 34 Louisburg Min 27 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 5 Durations at/below 28: 0 - 1 Range Dewpoint Temps: 11 - 21 Range Wetbulb Temps: 25 - 38 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: N 4 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 29 - 37 45 - 51 50 - 56 51 - 58 49 - 57 47 - 54 -------- North/Central NC Alamance County Area **** FREEZING TEMPERATURES **** **** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** Lowest Temperatures: 29 - 34 Graham_AG Min 31 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 4 Range Dewpoint Temps: 12 - 21 Range Wetbulb Temps: 28 - 38 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 4 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 31 - 37 46 - 51 51 - 56 53 - 58 52 - 57 49 - 53 -------- South/Central NC Richmond County Area **** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS **** ** PATCHY FROST COLDEST PROTECTED AREAS ** Lowest Temperatures: 30 - 35 Ellerbe Min 33 Durations at/below 32: 0 - 2 Range Dewpoint Temps: 18 - 26 Range Wetbulb Temps: 30 - 42 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 9 AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 32 - 39 47 - 50 53 - 55 53 - 56 53 - 56 52 - 57 -------- Interior/EC-SE NC Wayne County Area **** FREEZING TEMPERATURES **** **** WIDESPREAD FROST **** Lowest Temperatures: 30 - 32 Goldsboro_AG Min 31 Durations at/below 32: 1 - 3 Range Dewpoint Temps: 21 - 29 Range Wetbulb Temps: 30 - 40 AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 5 Long Periods of Calm AVG Sky Condition: Clear Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets) 03/24/17 03/25/17 03/26/17 03/27/17 03/28/17 03/29/17 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 32 - 34 46 - 49 50 - 54 54 - 57 54 - 60 53 - 56 -------- For more detailed information visit www.awis.com or call 888-798-9955. Copyright 2017 AWIS Weather Services, Inc. All rights reserved. Sky bit for Clayton at 5:30 p.m. Wed
Fig. 1. This is the current Wed morning forecast map for Thur morning’s lows. Pink areas in 30-32 range, and this covers a pretty broad area! If winds become still, and dew points are high enough, there could be potential for radiation frost Thursday morning in areas with minimums below 32 F.
Let’s glance at the AWIS minimum temp table (next) to see if there are any areas of the state of NC that may have minimums below 28 F for tomorrow morning (just click this pdf): NC Temp Mins
Please note in piedmont that Louisburg will see a minimum of 28 F and Rocky Mount Wilson 29 F (Thur morning). Those locations could be borderline! If the air temp in canopy drops below 28 F, there could be damage to open blooms. Dew points in Rocky Mount may be in the mid-20s tomorrow morning, and AWIS is showing FROST for Rocky Mount at 5 a.m. Rocky Mount
Please also note a 2nd morning of FROST is very likely on Friday morning. Looking at the same Rocky Mount AWIS product, Rocky Mount, you can see FROST starting at 3 a.m.
Here is the statewide min temp map for NC on Friday:
In Fig. 3 (below) you can see the min temp map for Friday morning. Good luck!!
10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS