North Carolina – Wed. Morning and Late Afternoon Updates (11am & 5:30pm, 3/22/17)

— Written By

Fig. 1. This is a Chandler plant in Rustburg, VA, that has truly been through quite an ordeal last week (photo taken on Sunday, March 19). The grower managed to keep most of his blooms alive on Chandler. The grower wrote, “Chandler seems to keep the blooms tucked into the plant canopy better and I think that helped this variety.”  I have had reports of both Sweet Charlie and Camino Real having more issues with these freezes. This particular grower also said, “What’s impressive to me as that some of these (Chandler) blooms must have come through three sub twenty nights with two covers….. a one  and a quarter with a .9 on top.




NC Temp Outlook - Late Afternoon

AWIS Weather Services, Inc. North Carolina Frost/Freeze Forecast
Produced at  306 PM CDT on Wed Mar 22 2017

... Forecast for Tonight ... Northeast NC Coast                      
Currituck/Camden/Pasquotank/Tyrrell Counties      

**** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS  ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      29 - 36
Elizabeth_City Min          29 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  5
Range Dewpoint Temps:     18 - 32
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     26 - 40
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE 11                          
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   31 - 38   48 - 54   51 - 57   53 - 60   56 - 62   49 - 56
--------

East Central/SE NC Coast                
Carteret/Pamlico Counties                         

**** FREEZING TEMPERATURES ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      30 - 34
Morehead_City Min           34 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  3
Range Dewpoint Temps:     23 - 32
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     28 - 41
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE 10                          
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   34 - 37   50 - 51   51 - 55   56 - 58   56 - 59   56 - 58
--------

Southeast NC                            
NWS FORECAST ZONES 87-90,96-101                   

**** FREEZING TEMPERATURES ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      30 - 34
Elizabethtown Min           33 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  2
Range Dewpoint Temps:     23 - 36
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     30 - 44
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE  9                          
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   33 - 37   47 - 51   52 - 57   54 - 58   54 - 59   52 - 61
--------

North-Central NC                        
Franklin County Area                              

**** FREEZING TEMPERATURES ****
**** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      27 - 34
Louisburg Min               27 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  5
Durations at/below 28:     0 -  1
Range Dewpoint Temps:     11 - 21
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     25 - 38
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:   N  4     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   29 - 37   45 - 51   50 - 56   51 - 58   49 - 57   47 - 54
--------

North/Central NC                        
Alamance County Area                              

**** FREEZING TEMPERATURES ****
**** LITTLE/NO FROST DUE TO DRY AIR **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      29 - 34
Graham_AG Min               31 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  4
Range Dewpoint Temps:     12 - 21
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     28 - 38
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE  4     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   31 - 37   46 - 51   51 - 56   53 - 58   52 - 57   49 - 53
--------

South/Central NC                        
Richmond County Area                              

**** FREEZE COLD LOCATIONS  ****
** PATCHY FROST COLDEST PROTECTED AREAS **

Lowest Temperatures:      30 - 35
Ellerbe Min                 33 
Durations at/below 32:     0 -  2
Range Dewpoint Temps:     18 - 26
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     30 - 42
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE  9                          
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   32 - 39   47 - 50   53 - 55   53 - 56   53 - 56   52 - 57
--------

Interior/EC-SE NC                       
Wayne County Area                                 

**** FREEZING TEMPERATURES ****
****  WIDESPREAD FROST   ****

Lowest Temperatures:      30 - 32
Goldsboro_AG Min            31 
Durations at/below 32:     1 -  3
Range Dewpoint Temps:     21 - 29
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     30 - 40
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NE  5     Long Periods of Calm 
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  03/24/17  03/25/17  03/26/17  03/27/17  03/28/17  03/29/17
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   32 - 34   46 - 49   50 - 54   54 - 57   54 - 60   53 - 56
--------

For more detailed information visit www.awis.com or call 888-798-9955. Copyright 2017 AWIS Weather Services, Inc. All rights reserved. Sky bit for Clayton at 5:30 pm Wed

Fig. 1. This is the current Wed morning forecast map for Thur morning’s lows. Pink areas in 30-32 range, and this covers a pretty broad area! If winds become still, and dew points are high enough, there could be potential for radiation frost Thursday morning in areas with minimums below 32 F.

Let’s glance at the AWIS minimum temp table (next) to see if there are any areas of the state of NC that may have minimums below 28 F for tomorrow morning (just click this pdf): NC Temp Mins

Please note in piedmont that Louisburg will see a minimum of 28 F and Rocky Mount Wilson 29 F (Thur morning). Those locations could be borderline! If the air temp in canopy drops below 28 F, there could be damage to open blooms. Dew points in Rocky Mount may be in the mid-20s tomorrow morning, and AWIS is showing FROST for Rocky Mount at 5 am Rocky Mount

Please also note a 2nd morning of FROST is very likely on Friday morning. Looking at the same Rocky Mount AWIS product, Rocky Mount, you can see FROST starting at 3 am.

Here is the statewide min temp map for NC on Friday:

In Fig. 3 (below) you can see the min temp map for Friday morning. Good luck!!

10-DAY DETAILED HOURLY WEATHER FORECASTS

Ahoskie-Tri-Cou Albemarle_AP Andrews Asheboro
Asheville_Munic Beaufort-Michae Boone_NC Burlington-Burl
Cape_Hatteras_AG Chapel_Hill-Hor Charlotte Cherry_Point
Clinton_NC Concord_NC Currituck_NC Edenton-Northea
Elizabeth_City Elizabethtown_NC Erwin-Harnett_C Fayetteville_AP
Fort_Bragg/Simm Franklin/Macon_C Gastonia-Gaston Goldsboro_AFB
Goldsboro_NC Greensboro Greenville_AP_NC Hickory
Jacksonville Jacksonville_(A Jefferson_AP_NC Kenansville-Dup
Kill_Devil_Hills Kinston_AP Lexington-David Lincolnton_AP
Louisburg_NC Lumberton_AP_NC Mackall_AAF Manteo/Dare_Co
Maxton Mcalf_Bogue_Fiel Monroe_AP_NC Morganton-Morga
Mount_Airy-Moun New_Bern North_Wilkesbor Oxford_NC
Piney_Island_Bom Pope_AFB Raleigh-Durham Reidsville_AP
Roanoke_Rap_AP Roanoke_Rapids_R Rockingham_NC Rocky_Mount-Wils
Roxboro_AP Rutherfordton Salisbury-Rowan Sanford_NC
Shelby_AP_NC Smithfield_AP Southern_Pines Southport_NC
Statesville-Sta Tarboro_AP Wadesboro_AP Washington-Warr
Whiteville_NC Wilmington_AP_NC Winston-Salem

Written By

Photo of Barclay Poling, N.C. Cooperative ExtensionDr. Barclay PolingFormer Professor and Extension Specialist, Strawberries and Muscadines (919) 515-5373 (Office) barclay_poling@ncsu.eduHorticultural Science - NC State University
Updated on Mar 22, 2017
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