30 Day Ag Weather Outlook VA – TN- NC – SC; DONORS for Public Advisory Recognized (Posted 2:05pm, Jan. 19, 2015)

— Written By Barclay Poling
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After a brief warm up the  general trend is still somewhat below average temperature, but nothing too extreme for  the reminder of the January into early February.

image001Chart 1 for Jan 22, 2015

Forecast discussion day 3 – 5 (21 Jan – 23 Jan) Temperatures start near average and then drop to below average. Temperatures start off slightly above average as a wave of low pressure known as “Alberta Clipper” moves to the north of the region and into the Canadian Maritimes.  Once the low pressure system moves into the Canadian Maritimes, the low will rapidly intensify causing northwest flow and colder temperatures along the Eastern Seaboard.  High temperatures are expected to range from the upper 40s – low 50s and lows in the 30s early in the period to highs in the upper 30s – low 40s and lows in the 20s late in the period.  Precipitation late in the period expected to be scattered and light in the 0.10” – 0.15″ range.

image002Chart 2 for Jan 25, 2015

Forecast discussion day 6 – 8: (24 Jan – 26 Jan) Temperatures stay below average.    During this period a coastal storm is expected to move out to sea to the south of the region keeping the cold airmass in place along the Eastern Seaboard. This will keep temperatures 3- 5 degrees below the seasonal average. High temperatures expected to range from 30s – low 40s and lows in the 20s.  Early in the period, rain changing to snow in southeastern coastal regions associated with the coastal low region then mostly dry mid to late period. Precipitation expected to be in the 0.10” – 0.30” range in the southeastern coastal regions.

image003Chart 3 for Jan. 28, 2015

Forecast discussion day 9 – 11: (27 Jan – 29 Jan) Temperatures warm to near normal then drop slightly.  Early in the period, temperatures rise a few degrees to near average as a wave of low pressure moves to the north of the region and into the Canadian Maritimes.  As the wave of low pressure moves into the Canadian Maritimes it will bring slightly cooler temperature into the region. High temperatures are expected to range from mid to upper 40s and lows in the 30s.  Then temperatures are expected to drop a couple of degrees late in the period.  Precipitation widely scattered in the northern sections of the region 0.05” – 0.10″ range.

image004Chart 4 for Jan. 31, 2015

Forecast discussion day 12 – 14:  (30 Jan – 1 Feb) Temperatures warm slightly to near normal as conditions become wet early in the period.    During this period a low pressure is expected to move east out of the Ohio Valley bringing slightly warmer temperatures and a period of widespread light rain early in the period. Dryer and slightly cooler conditions are expected late in the period. High temperatures expected to range from upper 40s and lows in the 30s early in the period.  Late in the period temperatures drop with high temperatures expected to be in the mid 40s and lows in the 20s. Light rain changing to snow in the north and west, mostly rain in the southern half of the region.  Precipitation expected to be in the 0.10” – 0.30” range.

Outlook discussion day 15 – 22: 2 Feb – 9 Feb): Near to slightly above average temperatures. Current indications are this period will see temperatures near to slightly above average to near average for the season.

Outlook discussion day 23 – 30:  (10 Feb – 17 Feb): Near average temperatures. Early indications are this period will moderate to near average temperatures for the season.

Thanks to these donors (listed below), you have received this weekly Outlook!!

We had  30 growers (18 growers from NC, 6 growers from VA, 1 grower from SC, 1 grower from GA, 1 grower from KY, 1 grower from DE, 1 grower from MD and 1 grower from Oklahoma!)

Also, 5 nurseries/pluggers helped out, 1 Strawberry Association (Virginia Strawberry Association) and 1 consultant (Bob Rouse Agriculturist, LLC)

Donors are listed in the order in which their pledge was received via email reply since the end of December.

Growers City State
1 Allan Baucom Monroe NC
2 Danny Van Meter Clarkson KY
3 Bobby Fifer Wyoming DE
4 Tom Baker Pungo VA
5 James & Bernie Kenan Greensboro NC
6 Larry & Frances McCauley Brultington NC
7 Richard and Faylene Whitaker Climax NC
8 Scot Luton Roper NC
9 Joe Burns Grayson GA
10 Eric and Kristi Hunter Easley SC
11 Vernon and Jennifer Britt Mt. Olive NC
12 David Horton Windsor VA
13 Cheri & Rob Bowers Cedar Grove NC
14 Carter Parr Roseland VA
15 Craven Smith Gibsonville NC
16 Rudd Family Farm Greensboro NC
16 Ben Miller Locust Grove VA
17 Jeremy and Lauren Brown Concord NC
18 Billy Carter Eagle Springs NC
19 Artie Watson Woodleaf NC
20 John Dysinger Oklahoma City OK
21 Tim Miller Westmoreland VA
22 Lowell Yoder Rustburg VA
23 John & Tina Gross Sanford NC
24 Ashley and Crissy Porter Willow Spring NC
25 Donnie Barnes Willow Springs NC
26 Sue & Brent Leggett Nashville NC
27 Darin & Jessica Jones Willow Spring NC
28 Steve McNeil Sanford NC
29 Michael Newell Queenstown MD
30 Robert & Jennifer Vaughn VA Beach VA
Nursery/Plugger City State/Province
Cottle Strawberry Nursery Faison NC
Westech Agriculture LTD Alberta PEI, Canada
Aarons Creek Buffalo Jct VA
G&W Nurseries Zebulon NC
Hunter Farms Easley SC
Grower Associations President State/Province
Virginia Strawberry Assn. Robet Vaughn VA
Consultants Manager State/Province
Bob Rouse Agriculturist, LLC Bob Rouse MD

We are still receiving contributions … they are definitely needed!

Thanks again! (you can send a text message pledge to 919/418-9687)

Dr. E. Barclay Poling
Professor Emeritus (Strawberry Plasticulture Researcher)
Department of Horticultural Science
Campus Box 7609, 162A Kilgore Hall
NC State University
Raleigh, NC 27695-7609
barclay_poling@ncsu.edu  OR strawberrydoc@gmail.com (cell – 919.418.9687)
“An idealist believes the short run does not count. A cynic believes the long run does not matter. A realist believes that what is done or left undone in the short run determines the long run.”

Sidney J. Harris, In: Reclaiming a Lost Heritage – Land-Grant & Other Higher Education Initiatives for the Twenty-first Century