NC Freeze Forecast Just Got Worse! (7:15am, Jan. 21, 2014)

— Written By

Good morning!

I am very glad we got our house heater fixed yesterday ’cause we are heading into sub-20s for the next 4 nights in N Raleigh/Durham area:  Wed min (15 F), Thur min (17 F), Fri min (13 F), and Sat (17 F). Siler City, which is bout an hour west of Raleigh on Hwy 64, will have these min temperatures over the next 4 days: 11, 15, 9, 14. And, even Sat morning will be down around 23. We are now moving into the territory of what we saw back on Jan 6-7, except, this is going to be a very very extended freeze that will go from Wed through Saturday. I truly can’t believe how the forecasts for this period from Jan 22 to Jan 26 have steadily worsened each day. Could it be even worse tomorrow?

NC Minimums – AWIS NC Jan 21 to 27

AWIS freeze forecast for NC (produced this morning at 5 am)

AWIS Weather Services, Inc. North Carolina Frost/Freeze Forecast
Produced at  507 AM CST on Tue Jan 21 2014

... Forecast for Tonight ... Northeast NC Coast                      
Currituck/Camden/Pasquotank/Tyrrell Counties      

**** HARD FREEZE ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO CLOUDS/WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      18 - 25
Elizabeth_City Min          20 
Durations at/below 32:    13 - 17
Durations at/below 28:     8 - 14
Range Dewpoint Temps:     10 - 40
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     16 - 45
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW 19                          
AVG Sky Condition:     Mostly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  01/23/14  01/24/14  01/25/14  01/26/14  01/27/14  01/28/14
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   17 - 24   13 - 22   15 - 25   31 - 38   21 - 31   33 - 40
--------

East Central/SE NC Coast                
Carteret/Pamlico Counties                         

**** HARD FREEZE ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      22 - 23
Morehead_City Min           23 
Durations at/below 32:    13 - 15
Durations at/below 28:     8 - 11
Range Dewpoint Temps:     10 - 37
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     19 - 47
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW 18                          
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  01/23/14  01/24/14  01/25/14  01/26/14  01/27/14  01/28/14
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   16 - 20   15 - 18   16 - 21   30 - 35   24 - 29   34 - 37
--------

Southeast NC                            
NWS FORECAST ZONES 87-90,96-101                   

**** HARD FREEZE ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      17 - 24
Elizabethtown Min           20 
Durations at/below 32:    12 - 17
Durations at/below 28:     7 - 15
Range Dewpoint Temps:      8 - 33
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     16 - 45
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW 16                          
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  01/23/14  01/24/14  01/25/14  01/26/14  01/27/14  01/28/14
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   15 - 21   11 - 16   13 - 18   27 - 36   23 - 29   29 - 37
--------

North-Central NC                        
Franklin County Area                              

**** HARD FREEZE ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      11 - 17
Louisburg Min               11 
Durations at/below 32:    16 - 18
Durations at/below 28:    14 - 18
Range Dewpoint Temps:      4 - 30
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     10 - 38
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW 13                          
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  01/23/14  01/24/14  01/25/14  01/26/14  01/27/14  01/28/14
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   13 - 21    8 - 15   13 - 20   23 - 30   20 - 26   27 - 33
--------

North/Central NC                        
Alamance County Area                              

**** HARD FREEZE ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      11 - 17
Graham_AG Min               15 
Durations at/below 32:    18 - 19
Durations at/below 28:    16 - 18
Range Dewpoint Temps:      2 - 30
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     11 - 38
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW 14                          
AVG Sky Condition:     Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  01/23/14  01/24/14  01/25/14  01/26/14  01/27/14  01/28/14
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   15 - 20    9 - 14   14 - 20   23 - 29   20 - 26   27 - 33
--------

South/Central NC                        
Richmond County Area                              

**** HARD FREEZE ****
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST DUE TO WIND **** 

Lowest Temperatures:      15 - 20
Ellerbe Min                 20 
Durations at/below 32:    15 - 18
Durations at/below 28:    11 - 16
Range Dewpoint Temps:      8 - 28
Range Wetbulb  Temps:     15 - 37
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  NW 15                          
AVG Sky Condition:         Clear    

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

  01/23/14  01/24/14  01/25/14  01/26/14  01/27/14  01/28/14
  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------  --------
   16 - 20   11 - 13   14 - 16   26 - 30   24 - 26   29 - 32
--------

For more detailed information visit www.awis.com or call 888-798-9955. Copyright 2014 AWIS Weather Services, Inc. All rights reserved.

Minimum temp maps for NC (Wed, Thur, Fri, Sat) – note the Carolina blue area on the third map (Friday) – this indicates 10-12 F range. It would be nice if we don’t experience this much cold across much of the piedmont on Thur night/Friday morning, but I would seriously consider re-applying row covers TODAY in all these areas approaching 10 F, or COLDER.

wed ncthur ncfri ncsat nc

Duration foreast for NC (hours below 20 F this week): Duration forecast NC below 20

My SkyBit for Clayton at 7 am today:

20140121st1.NCCLY

Dr. E. Barclay Poling
Professor Emeritus
Department of Horticultural Science

Campus Box 7609, 162A Kilgore Hall

NC State University
Raleigh, NC 27695-7609

Written By

Photo of Barclay Poling, N.C. Cooperative ExtensionDr. Barclay PolingFormer Professor and Extension Specialist, Strawberries and Muscadines (919) 515-5373 (Office) barclay_poling@ncsu.eduHorticultural Science - NC State University
Updated on Jan 21, 2014
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