Two Week Forecast and 30 Day Outlook for VA-TN-NC-SC (Dec. 23, 2013)

— Written By

Good afternoon! I wish to provide you with a two week FORECAST from today through January 5, 2014 (VA-TN-NC-SC). Also, you are being furnished an OUTLOOK for this same region (VA-TN-NC-SC), from January 6 through January 30.

Merry Christmas!

Forecast discussion day 3 – 5:   (25 Dec – 27 Dec) Slightly below average temperatures and dry. Highs upper 40s lows in the mid 20s.  A large area of slowing moving cold high pressure will stretch from the Texas Panhandle to the mid Atlantic coast during the period.  This high pressure will cause generally light winds, slightly below average temperature and mostly dry conditions with little if any precipitation expected during this period.

first period

Station High T Low T
Charlottesville VA 47 29
Richmond VA 50 30
Roanoake VA 47 29
Hillsville VA 48 29
Greensboro NC 50 31
Asheville NC 49 29
Charlotte NC 54 35
Fayetteville NC 55 35

Forecast discussion day 6 – 8:  (28 Dec – 30 Dec) Slightly below average temperatures and dry continues. Highs will continue in the upper 40s lows mid 20s as the cold high pressure area slowly moves eastward.  Light winds, slightly below average temperature and mostly dry conditions will continue to dominate during this period.

second period

Station High T Low T
Charlottesville VA 46 28
Richmond VA 49 29
Roanoake VA 46 28
Hillsville VA 47 28
Greensboro NC 49 30
Asheville NC 48 28
Charlotte NC 53 34
Fayetteville NC 54 34

Editor’s note: It is interesting that AccuWeather Pro is indicating Minimum Temp in Raleigh, NC, for example, of 19 F on Monday night, 12/30-12/31; and then on Tuesday night it will be 21 F

Forecast discussion day 9 – 11: (31 Dec– 2 Jan) Below average temperatures with generally dry conditions. Highs near 40 and lows near 20 as colds high pressure will likely to continue to dominate the Mid Atlantic states.  Possible brief periods of light showers, (snow showers at elevations above 1100 fee). Precipitation is expected to be very light and showery in the 0.00 – 0.10 liquid water equivalent range during this period.

third period

Station High T Low T
Charlottesville VA 45 27
Richmond VA 48 28
Roanoake VA 45 27
Hillsville VA 46 27
Greensboro NC 48 29
Asheville NC 47 27
Charlotte NC 52 33
Fayetteville NC 53 33

 Forecast discussion day 12 – 14:  (3 Jan – 5 Jan) Below average temperatures, chance of periods of light precipitation. Highs remain near 40 and lows near 20.  There will likely be a periods of light rain (south and coastal regions) and snow showers (west and north) as weak fronts move through the area during the period. Precipitation is expected to be showery in the 0.10 – 0.20 liquid water equivalent range.

 fourth period

Station High T Low T
Charlottesville VA 44 26
Richmond VA 47 27
Roanoake VA 44 26
Hillsville VA 45 26
Greensboro NC 47 28
Asheville NC 46 26
Charlotte NC 51 32
Fayetteville NC 52 32

Editor’s note: It is interesting that AccuWeather Pro is indicating Minimum Temp in Raleigh, NC, for example, of 18 F on Friday night, 1/3/14; and Saturday night it will be 19 F in Raleigh. For plants that have been properly acclimated for colder weather, temperatures in the upper teens do not present a problem. For growers who have not had a clear strategy to harden their crop off (have left covers on during Dec), there needs to be special attention paid to minimum temperature forecasts at this time of year!

Outlook discussion day 15 – 22: (6 Jan – 13 Jan):  Below average temperatures and little precipitation.   Colder than average temperatures will likely persist during this period with a wind flow from the northwest dominating the period.

Outlook discussion day 23 – 30:  (14 Jan – 21 Jan):   Moderating temperatures to near  average. Cold temperatures begin to moderate during this period to near average for the season as the predominate wind flow becomes more west to southwest.

 Here are some additional AWIS max/min temperature tables for this next week:

NC Dec 23-Dec 30

VA Dec 23-Dec 30

SC Dec 23-Dec 30

TN Dec 23-Dec 30

Dr. E. Barclay Poling

Professor Emeritus
Department of Horticultural Science

Campus Box 7609, 162A Kilgore Hall

NC State University
Raleigh, NC 27695-7609

Written By

Photo of Dr. Barclay PolingDr. Barclay PolingFormer Professor and Extension Specialist, Strawberries and Muscadines (919) 515-5373 (Office) barclay_poling@ncsu.eduHorticultural Science - NC State University
Updated on Dec 24, 2013
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