Frost Doesn’t Appear Likely on Sunday Morning – Only 1 Location Out of 64 May Frost (5 PM, 4.6.13)

— Written By

Hello!

I just checked the very latest AWIS hourly forecast for these 64 locations:

64 locations

And, the only one to indicate potential for FROST tomorrow morning was Rocky Mount!Rocky Mount

Also, there was not that much change this afternoon in AWIS FROST/FREEZE forcecast for NC

April 6 morn April 6 after Sky Cover 2nd Update
1st update 2nd update 4/7at 7 am 4/7 at 7am Frost 4/7?
Elizabeth City 38 38 partly cloud E 6 mph PATCHY FROST COLDEST LOCATIONS
Morehead City 43 43 partly cloudy NE 6 mph LITTLE IF ANY FROST
Elizabethtown 42 42 partly cloud E 6 mph PATCHY FROST COLDEST PROTECTED LOCATIONS
Lousiburg (Frank) 37 37 partly cloudy S 5 mph SCATTERED FROST COLDEST LOCATIONS
Graham (Alamance) 41 41 mostly cloudy SE 7 mph LITTLE IF ANY FROST
Ellerbe 42 42 partly cloudy SE 7 mph PATCHY FROST COLDEST PROTECTED LOCATIONS

Here is the fuller version of the FROST/FREEZE forecast as of 4:03 EST.

AWIS Weather Services, Inc.
North Carolina Frost/Freeze Forecast
Produced at 303 PM CDT on Sat Apr 6 2013

… Forecast for Tonight …

Northeast NC Coast
Currituck/Camden/Pasquotank/Tyrrell Counties
** PATCHY FROST COLDEST LOCATIONS **

Lowest Temperatures:     38 – 45
Elizabeth_City Min         38
Range Dewpoint Temps:    33 – 41
Range Wetbulb Temps:    41 – 45
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  E 6
AVG Sky Condition:    Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

04/08/13 04/09/13 04/10/13 04/11/13 04/12/13 04/13/13
——– ——– ——– ——– ——– ——–
48 – 55  54 – 61  57 – 64  58 – 64  55 – 62  47 – 54
——–

East Central/SE NC Coast
Carteret/Pamlico Counties
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST ****

Lowest Temperatures:     39 – 43
Morehead_City Min          43
Range Dewpoint Temps:    39 – 43
Range Wetbulb Temps:    41 – 47
AVG Wind Direction/Speed: NE 6
AVG Sky Condition:    Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

04/08/13 04/09/13 04/10/13 04/11/13 04/12/13 04/13/13
——– ——– ——– ——– ——– ——–
49 – 51  56 – 58  58 – 61  60 – 61  61 – 63  51 – 54
——–

Southeast NC
NWS FORECAST ZONES 87-90,96-101
** PATCHY FROST COLDEST PROTECTED AREAS **

Lowest Temperatures:     40 – 44
Elizabethtown Min          42
Range Dewpoint Temps:    35 – 45
Range Wetbulb Temps:    40 – 50
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  E 6    Long Periods of Calm
AVG Sky Condition:    Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

04/08/13 04/09/13 04/10/13 04/11/13 04/12/13 04/13/13
——– ——– ——– ——– ——– ——–
48 – 52  54 – 58  57 – 61  58 – 63  57 – 62  48 – 53
——–

North-Central NC
Franklin County Area
** SCATTERED FROST COLDEST LOCATIONS **

Lowest Temperatures:     36 – 44
Louisburg Min              37
Range Dewpoint Temps:    30 – 36
Range Wetbulb Temps:    35 – 43
AVG Wind Direction/Speed:  S 5    Long Periods of Calm
AVG Sky Condition:    Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

04/08/13 04/09/13 04/10/13 04/11/13 04/12/13 04/13/13
——– ——– ——– ——– ——– ——–
46 – 53  50 – 56  53 – 60  56 – 61  50 – 60  41 – 49
——–

North/Central NC
Alamance County Area
**** LITTLE IF ANY FROST ****

Lowest Temperatures:     39 – 44
Graham_AG Min              41
Range Dewpoint Temps:    30 – 36
Range Wetbulb Temps:    38 – 43
AVG Wind Direction/Speed: SE 7
AVG Sky Condition:    Mostly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

04/08/13 04/09/13 04/10/13 04/11/13 04/12/13 04/13/13
——– ——– ——– ——– ——– ——–
48 – 53  51 – 57  55 – 60  56 – 62  51 – 56  43 – 48
——–

South/Central NC
Richmond County Area
** PATCHY FROST COLDEST PROTECTED AREAS **

Lowest Temperatures:     40 – 45
Ellerbe Min                42
Range Dewpoint Temps:    35 – 43
Range Wetbulb Temps:    40 – 47
AVG Wind Direction/Speed: SE 7
AVG Sky Condition:    Partly Cloudy

Extended Forecast: Range of Lowest Min Temperatures in the Above Zones
Min Temps Valid For Morning of Given Date (May NOT include ALL cold pockets)

04/08/13 04/09/13 04/10/13 04/11/13 04/12/13 04/13/13
——– ——– ——– ——– ——– ——–
48 – 50  52 – 56  57 – 59  59 – 61  52 – 60  45 – 50
——–

For more detailed information visit www.awis.com or call 888-798-9955.
Copyright 2013 AWIS Weather Services, Inc. All rights reserved.

Old friends from Midwest and Mid-Atlantic check in:

Midwest:

(Even) without your weather services (e.g SkyBit, AWIS), you should be ok for Sunday (morning in NC), Barclay. Our St. Louis area was 47 this morning and it is now 70 on Saturday afternoon. I’ve been following your reports in general and much of your territory is 24-36 hours behind here. I feel for all the berry growers at this time of the year. We are quite a ways behind your plasticulture plantings , and by tomorrow, the first peach bloom will show..

Keep up your good work. Chris Doll

Mid-Atlantic:

Bob Rouse checks in: (MD)

“Jay Shlagel at Skybit called yesterday 4/5/13. His comments on the weather were very interesting and had a note of caution. Jay stated that the weather trend was changing and that we would be experience more mild weather for the rest of April. BUT WITH ONE BIG CAUTION. He stated that with the large snow pack in Canada at this time we could expect to get some cooler than normal events because of this over the next month or so.
Just be prepared.

In the short run we should be looking at some warm temperatures after Sunday morning 4/7/13. Looking at the SKYBIT forecasts that I get for a number of you the projections for lows at the canopy levels do not seem to be a problem. Canopy highs Tuesday and Wednesday are in the low to mid 80’s. So know your temps both the lows and the highs.

goldilox hi low tempLike I have said before strawberries are like Goldie Lox they do not like it too hot nor too cold. So covers need to be coming off and we need to be ready for some on off evens. This coming week after Sunday morning should give us a great opportunity to do some good sanitation and clean up of dead leaves and put on fungicides if we need to. You will also want to look for mites and aphids. Most of the Chandlers I have seen in Central Maryland and the near Maryland Mountains are still in the bud stage so this will be a good time if you have not put your Rovral spray on to get it done before first fruiting flowers.

Our Mid-south region will hear from Dr. Glenn Van Knowe tomorrow about his 16 day forecast and 30 day outlook for mid-south. He will soon be concluding this pro bono service – honestly, I don’t know how we would have managed this season without his help! We will discuss on Monday how this service could be continued next year? But, then who knows where any of us will be? There could be one giant sequester coming out of DC to flatten us all!

Hopefully there will be no frost alarms going off in NC, exept maybe in Rocky-Mount?

Barclay

Dr. E. Barclay Poling
Professor Emeritus/Extension Strawberry Specialist
Department of Horticultural Science
Campus Box 7609, 162A Kilgore Hall
NC State University
Raleigh, NC 27695-7609
919-418-9687 (Cell)
919-515-2505 (Fax)
barclay_poling@ncsu.edu
https://strawberries.ces.ncsu.edu

Written By

Photo of Dr. Barclay PolingDr. Barclay PolingFormer Professor and Extension Specialist, Strawberries and Muscadines (919) 515-5373 (Office) barclay_poling@ncsu.eduHorticultural Science - NC State University
Posted on Apr 6, 2013
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